Abstract
The author revisits the Blue Bus Problem, a famous thought-experiment in law involving probabilistic proof, and presents Bayesian solutions to different versions of the blue bus hypothetical. In addition, the author expresses his solutions in standard and visual formats, that is, in terms of probabilities and natural frequencies.
Keywords
Law, Evidence, Bayes, Blue Bus Problem, Probability, Statistics, Natural frequency, Probabilistic proof, Smith v. Rapid Transit, Inc.